Italy just beat Turkey without a sweat and did that away from home, but bookies are saying by these odds here - good for you Italy but we don't care.
The final score of that game is also not showing us the full picture as looking on the xG ratio, the team that were on the wrong end of a beatdown...actually were better in this statistic !
Turkey created 2.88 xG , compare to 2.28 xG of Italian squad.
France on the other hand just started their new chapter under coach Zidane and in my view this is a huge upgrade from Deschamps who was carried past years by abnormal talent and potential of his players.
However looking on first couple games of France, it was not looking pretty thus far with even them winning both games, neither of them came out as convicing.
Les Blues won b2b times by 1:0 scoreline vs Turkey and Belgium.Even they are always massive public side , bettors will look on the odds here and think a bit what we have in store.
They just saw Italy hammering the same Turkey team, that days before France just escaped.
Bookies know perfectly what I said higher with final score being missleading, they know this Italy team is not trustworthy and they know what is coming here.
This match will be the true opener for Zidane era as both previous matches came on the road for France.
Infront packed Stade de France they should leave no doubt that there are levels to this game.
Italy have couple world class footballers like Donnarumma , Barella or Bastoni but they will ran into a buzzsaw here.
After that France performances and recent Italy result we could have seen this game open at -1 AH but that is not the case with very telling -1.25 AH line which and bookies trying to bait some sharps and part of the public to click on the dog.